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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-03-15T02:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-03-15T02:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8011/-1
CME Note: This CME is connected to the long duration C9.1 flare with start at 01:15 and peak at 02:13, flare is centered in AR 2297, large part of the filament W of AR is also erupting, bright post-flare arcade later in AR 2297
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-03-17T04:05Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 7.67
Dst min. in nT: -223
Dst min. time: 2015-03-17T23:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-03-17T11:54Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 7.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.

Lead Time: -86032.85 hour(s)
Difference: -7.82 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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